4:05 Cheltenham – Racing Trends

4:05 Cheltenham – Steel Plate And Sections Novices´ Chase (CLASS 2) (4yo+)

Trends

• 9 out of 10 winners previously ran in graded hurdles race
• 8 out of 10 winners previously won over hurdles
• 7 out of 10 won at odds of 9/2 or less
• 7 out of 10 had previous chasing experience
• 7 out of 10 had raced in the current season
• 6 out of 10 had previously won a chase
• 5 out of 10 had previously won over the race distance

Selections: Knockara Beau & Ashkazar

Trends for the Grade 2 Clonmel Oil Chase

Trends

• 11 out of 11 winners went off at odds of 5/1 or lower
• 11 out of 11 winners previously run in a graded race
• 8 out of 11 winners won over distance
• 8 out of 11 previously won a graded race
• 8 out of 11 run at Cheltenham Festival
• 8 out of 11 had an OR of 140 or higher
• 6 out of 11 had a previous course win
• 6 out of 11 previously won or been placed at Cheltenham Festival

Selections: Snowy Morning & Vic Venturi

Racing Trends – 3 winners from last 4

3:10 Bangor on Dee – totesport.com Novices´ Hurdle (CLASS 4) (4yo+)

Trends

• 5 out of 5 winners making hurdling debut
• 4 out of 5 winners went off favourite or 2^nd favourite
• 3 out of 5 winners previously run in higher class race
• 3 out of 5 winners won their previous race
• 5 out of 5 winners aged 4 or 6

Selections: Art Deco & Sahrati

Race Trends: Munster Beginners Chase

3:35 Limerick – Munster Beginners Chase (4yo+) Winner €8,983

Trends

• 5 out of 6 winners went off favourite or 2^nd favourite
• 5 out of 6 winners previously won hurdle event
• 5 out of 6 winners previously run in graded hurdle or chase event
• 5 out of 6 winners previously won over race distance
• 5 out of 6 winners aged 5 or 6
• 5 out of 6 had previous course form

Selection: Pesoto

7/1 winner on Friday, 4/1 winner yesterday

10 Year Trends for Navan Grade 2 Lismullen Hurdle:

12:55 Navan – Lismullen Hurdle (Grade 2) (4yo+) Winner €26,040

• 9 out of 10 winners at odds of 4/1 or less

• 9 out of 10 winners previously run in graded event

• 8 out of 10 winners previously won over race distance

• 7 out of 10 winners aged 6, 7, or 8yo

• 4 out of 10 making seasonal reappearance

Selection: Oscar Dan Dan

Trends for Sandown Today

2:10 – Bet @ bluesquare.com Handicap Chase (CLASS 3)

9 Year Trends

• No winner at odds of over 8/1

• 9 out of 9 winners aged 6, 7, 8 yo

• 9 out of 9 winners previously run in Class 3

• 8 out of 9 winners won in Class 3

• 7 out of 9 winners won over the distance

• 6 out of 9 winners were sent off favourite or 2^nd favourite

Selection: Nudge and Nurdle

5 Year Trends for Down Royal Today

I am looking to narrow down the field for the 1:35 at Down Royal today based on 5 year trends:

European Breeders Fund Hamptons Furnishings Mares Novice Hurdle (Grade 3)

5 Year Trends

• No winner at odds of over 11/2

• No winner carried more than 11-0

• Last 5 winners all previously won over 2m

• 4 of last 5 winners were 5yo

• 4 of last 5 winners already won during current season

• 4 of last 5 winners went off as favourite

Selection: Premier Victory

Champions League Twenty20 NSW v Sussex

New South Wales play Sussex in the Champions Leahue 20Twenty in Delhi today and my review of the statistics give a good opportunity for profit in the wides market.

In the domestic season New South Wales played 5 Twenty20 matches conceding 21 wides in 5 games at an average of 4.2 wides per match.

Sussex played in 13 matches conceding a total of 44 wides at an average of 3.38 wides per match.

In 3 out of their 5 matches, New South Wales conceded 5 or more wides, but Sussex only conceded 5 or more wides in 3 of their 13 matches.

Advice – Champions League Twenty20 – New South Wales v Sussex – Total match wides – Under 8.5 – 5/6 with William Hill

Ukraine V England – Excellent 5/4 opportunity tonight

Ukraine take on England in Dnipro (Kick off 17:15 BST) today.

And there is one very strong statistic which is available at better than even odds. The market I will be playing in on this evening’s match is the over/under 2.5 goals market.

Consider the facts:

• 7 out of 8 of England’s qualifying games have gone over 2.5 goals – including the last 7 on the trot.
• If you include England’s recent friendly results the last 11 out of 12 games have gone over 2.5 goals
• England’s qualifying games have averaged 4.5 goals per match
• England have scored more goals that any other team in the European qualifying section – 31 in total
• Ukraine’s qualifying matches are averaging 2.5 goals per game
• The reverse fixture at Wembley finished 2-1

Advice: Ukraine v England – Over 2.5 goals – 5/4 generally available

ICC Champions Trophy Final – Match Wides

Australia play New Zealand in the ICC Champions Trophy final this afternoon.

We have done very well throughout the tournament by betting in the match wides market and we will continue to do this today.

Australia have played 30 completed one day internationals in 2009 and are conceding an average of 6.60 wides per match.

New Zealand have played in 17 completed one day internationals in 2009 conceding an average of 3.94 wides per game.

In the current tournament Australia are conceding on average 8.5 wides per match and New Zealand are conceding 5.75.

On the face of it the call could well be for over 13.5 wides, but all of New Zealand;s 4 games have been under 13.5 wides while two of Australia’s games against West Indies and Pakistan were against teams who concede higher than average wides.

Advice: ICC Champions Trophy Final – Australia v New Zealand – Under 13.5 wides – 5/6 available generally